Category Archives: 2008

Remember that story that said Favre was having surgery? Yeah, about that…

In the latest edition of “Did Brett Favre sneeze today?,” there is a new conflicting report out saying that Favre wants to heal his arm without surgery.

From ESPN’s Ed Werder:  “Favre, however, remains focused on nonsurgical options, including cortisone injections and natural movements like light throwing and bicep curls that might cause the tendon to release naturally, the source told ESPN.  If the tendon releases and the pain subsides, Favre is virtually certain to play again.  If he has surgery and his arm strength diminishes or the pain remains, he will remain retired.”

So basically, Favre’s return is still inevitable.  Now there’s just two different anonymous sources telling us two different stories about HOW he will return.

Did Favre fake his injury that convinced him to retire?

I’ll just send you over to CheeseheadTV for the story.

Brett Favre gave Rodgers the cold shoulder? (w/ audio from interview)

Apparently, Brett Favre never once even spoke to Aaron Rodgers during the whole un-retirement fiasco.  In an interview on The Michael Irvin Show, Rodgers said that Favre has not spoken to him since the NFC Championship Game.  For over a year now, Favre has apparently ignored Rodgers’ phone calls and attempts to get in contact with the former Packers star.  Stay classy, Brett.

 

Click here for a transcript of the entire interview.

And here’s the audio from the interview.

Packers Blow Another 4th Quarter Lead in Loss to Chicago

Nothing new here, folks.

Jaguars Eliminate Packers from Playoff Contention

It’s time to start looking toward April and the NFL Draft.  The Packers have officially been knocked out of the playoff race.  Green Bay still has a chance to gain some satisfaction from wins over divisional foes Chicago and Detroit, but but either way it won’t erase the fact that this has been an incredibly disappointing season.

Today’s game showcased all the flaws that have crippled Green Bay this year; namely, an inability to finish.  An inability on offense to finish drives.  And an inability of defense to finish games.  The Packers defense collapsed once again when it mattered most, continuing what has become a routine of giving up touchdowns in the last two minutes.

Ted Thompson has a lot of work to do with this team in the offseason, and few fans will stand for the conservative approach to free agency that has become a hallmark of Thompson’s time as GM.  Thompson’s conservative strategy has left Green Bay with millions in cap room.  If this young team that only needs a little added depth and veteran leadership doesn’t deserve to have some money spent on it, I don’t know when Thompson ever aims to spend money.

I’ll start adding some content for the offseason soon enough.  Right now I just don’t feel up to it.

By the way, root for the Jets, if for no other reason then it will give us a better draft pick in April.

Who to Root For: A Statistical Analysis of Green Bay’s Playoff Chances

The latest installment of “Who to Root For” is the simplest yet.  Green Bay must win out, while the two other contenders in the NFC North must lose out.  So our chances are slim and none, to say the least.  But have you ever wondered exactly what the Packers playoff chances are, in more precise terms than “slim and none?”  Well, you’re welcome.  I will analyze the Packers playoff chances using three different models.

1.)  The “Any Given Sunday” Model–Here, I give each team a 50/50 chance of winning each game:

Probability of Packers making playoffs:  .78%

2.)  The “Vikings Always Choke” Model–In this model, I take into account the Vikings propensity for choking by using each team’s winning percentage in the final 3 weeks over the past 5 years and using that as the probability of a win (in the Bears/Packers game, I obviously can’t use both winning percentages because the two percentages don’t total 100%, so I’ll be using the Packers win % since it is higher, and because the Packers have already manhandled the Bears.)  This model is more favorable to the Packers because Green Bay has traditionally finished the season strong, while the Vikings and Bears haven’t.

Probability of Packers making playoffs:  7.43%

3.)  The “Very Subjective, But Potentially Most Accurate” Model:  Try as I might, I could not find any sports betting website that had given odds for Week 16 or 17 (nor did I expect to find any–that’s not how sports betting works.)  Therefore, I will be subjectively judging each team’s probability of winning in each game.  (GB/JAX=55/45%, GB/CHI=50/50%, GB/DET=85/15%; MIN/ARI=43/57%, MIN/ATL=55/45%, MIN/NYG=38/62%; CHI/HOU=60/40%.)

Probability of Packers making playoffs:  1.49%

There you go.  The most generous model gives Green Bay less than an 8% chance of getting into the playoffs.  The least generous puts the probability under 1%.  So to say that our playoff chances are a long shot is an understatement.

Bears Beat Saints in Overtime

That win for the Bears puts a playoff spot for the Packers that much further out of reach.  The Bears and the Vikings must now lose all of their remaining games, while the Packers must win out.